Should aliens ever encounter NASA’s Voyager spacecraft, they’ll find the Golden Record (left, cover shown right), which is packed with sounds and images of Earth.

JPL-Caltech/NASA

The chances of contacting extraterrestrial civilizations seem poor Science News , February 24, 1973

The possibility of life … on other planets has stimulated many people’s i­maginations…. In the Feb. 9 Nature , James C. G. Walker of Yale University studies the possible parameters of such a search and comes to some pessimistic conclusions.

Walker estimated it could take 1,400 to 14 million years to contact E.T. with the available technology. That’s way longer than researchers have spent listening for alien radio signals and scouring the sky with telescopes and satellites ( SN: 11/21/20, p. 18 ).

Despite the silence, scientists have sent their own messages into the void. In 1974, Earth sent a string of binary code from the Arecibo Observatory in Puerto Rico. Years later, arguably the most famous message — the Golden Record — made its way to space aboard NASA spacecraft ( SN: 8/20/77, p. 124 ).

If aliens ever reach out, they may send quantum dispatches , scientists say ( SN: 8/13/22, p. 5 ). Even so, the aliens are likely so far from Earth that their civilization will have collapsed by the time we get the message ( SN: 4/14/18, p. 9 ).

A version of this article appears in the February 25, 2023 issue of Science News.

Erin I. Garcia de Jesus is a staff writer at Science News . She holds a Ph.D. in microbiology from the University of Washington and a master’s in science communication from the University of California, Santa Cruz.

Our mission is to provide accurate, engaging news of science to the public. That mission has never been more important than it is today.

As a nonprofit news organization, we cannot do it without you.

Your support enables us to keep our content free and accessible to the next generation of scientists and engineers. Invest in quality science journalism by donating today.

Science News was founded in 1921 as an independent, nonprofit source of accurate information on the latest news of science, medicine and technology. Today, our mission remains the same: to empower people to evaluate the news and the world around them. It is published by the Society for Science, a nonprofit 501(c)(3) membership organization dedicated to public engagement in scientific research and education (EIN 53-0196483).

Subscribers, enter your e-mail address for full access to the Science News archives and digital editions.

Not a subscriber?
Become one now .

50 years ago, Earth’s chances of contacting E.T. looked slim